Factbox-Major brokerages see slower pace of Fed rate cuts despite Trump tariff uncertainty

(Reuters) - Major brokerages maintained their predictions for a slower pace of interest-rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve after the central bank kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged on Wednesday.
The Fed left its benchmark overnight interest rate in the 4.25-4.50% range, with Chair
The Fed also forecast slower economic growth and higher inflation.
Currently, traders expect two rate cuts of 25 basis points each for the year, according to data compiled by LSEG. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is scheduled to meet again on
Here are the forecasts from major brokerages following the March meeting:
Total No. of Fed Funds
Brokerage cuts in 2025 cuts in 2025 Rate
50 2 (25
Goldman Sachs bps bps each in June and 3.75-4.00% (through
December) December)
50 2 (25
J.P.Morgan bps bps each in June and 3.75-4.00% (through
September)
125bp 5
Citigroup (starting in may) 3.00-3.25% (end of
2025)
50 2 (25
Barclays bps bps each in June and 3.75-4.00% (through
September) December)
No 0
Berenberg rate cut 4.25-4.50% (end of
2025)
No 0
Nomura rate cut 4.25-4.50% (end of
2025)
50 2 (25
Barclays bps bps each in June and 3.75-4.00% (through
September) December)
75 3 (25
HSBC bps bps each in June, 3.50-3.75% (end of
September and 2025)
December)
50 2 (H2
ING bps 2025) 3.75-4.00% (end of
2025)
(Compiled by the
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