JGB yields slump as US tariffs lower BOJ's rate-hike bets
(Updates yield levels, adds comments)
The 10-year JGB yield fell as much as 13
basis points to 1.34% earlier in the session to hit its lowest
level since
The yield posted its biggest drop since
The 10-year bond yield was last down 9 bps at 1.38%. Bond yields move inversely to prices.
"The market reaction was too big, but this is a reflection
that investors' expectation for the central bank's interest rate
hike was overheated," said
"They focused too much on domestic wages and prices and underestimated the impact of the U.S. tariff plans."
Investors globally scrambled to the safety of bonds on Thursday as U.S. President Donald Trump unveiled a bigger-than-expected wall of tariffs around the world's largest economy, upending trade and supply chains.
The bets that the BOJ would raise its policy rate at a faster pace than the market had expected sent yields across some tenors to 17-year highs only last week.
The central bank kept interest rates steady in March but warned of heightening global economic uncertainty, suggesting the timing of further rate hikes will depend largely on the fallout from potentially higher U.S. tariffs.
Swap rates indicated a 9.5% chance of the BOJ raising rates by 25 bps to 0.75% at its policy meeting in May.
The yields on other maturities fell sharply to their two months lows, with the five-year yield slipping 9.5 bps to 0.98%, and the two-year JGB yield falling fell 5.5 bps to 0.775%.
(Reporting by
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