EMERGING MARKETS-Latam FX mixed, stocks higher after Fed holds rates; Turkish assets slide
* US Fed holds rates, slows balance sheet drawdown *Brazil rate verdict awaited, expected to hike * Turkish lira hits record low, local stocks plunge * Latam FX up 0.2%, stocks climb 1% (Updates with mid-session trading) ByShashwat Chauhan andPurvi Agarwal March 19 (Reuters) - Latin American currencies were mixed on Wednesday after the U.S. Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged and projected two cuts this year, while Turkish assets took a hit after authorities detained President Tayyip Erdogan's main political rival. The Fed held interest rates steady but the central bank's policymakers indicated they still anticipate reducing rates by half a percentage point by end-2025 in the context of slowing economic growth and eventually, a downturn in inflation. "The Fed remains in no hurry to cut interest rates, but President Trump's spending cuts and trade protectionist policies are hurting growth prospects and will likely force the central bank's hand later in the year," saidJames Knightley , chief international economist at ING. The dollar was 0.2% higher, pressuring some Latin American currencies such as the Mexican peso andColombia's peso that fell 0.8% each. Turkish assets were hit hard after authorities detainedIstanbul mayorEkrem Imamoglu , the main rival of President Tayyip Erdogan, on charges of corruption and aiding a terrorist group in what the main opposition party called "a coup against our next president". The lira plunged as much as 12.7% earlier in the day to a record low of 42 per dollar, marking its worst day sinceJune 2023 . Local stocks closed 8.7% lower while its international bonds also saw heavy selling pressure. Turkish Finance MinisterMehmet Simsek said that everything necessary is being done to ensure the markets are functioning healthily after the slide, without giving any further details. The central bank sold a record amount of foreign currency on Wednesday, according to calculations by three bankers. "There were very strong signs that Turkish assets would be giving positive real interest rates, but now there is currency volatility," said Emre Akcakmak, head of frontier markets and portfolio adviser withEast Capital Group , also pointing that an interest rate cut was potentially off the table now. "Foreign investors will likely be discouraged by all these uncertainties." The central bank cut rates for the first time in December after an 18-month tightening effort that had reversed years of unorthodox policy and easy money backed by Erdogan. Back in LatAm,Brazil's real firmed 0.4% ahead of a local interest rate decision later in the day, when it is widely expected to hike rates to bring the Selic rate to 14.25%.Brazil's government kept its economic growth forecast for this year unchanged at 2.3%, while slightly increasing its inflation estimate.Chile's peso held firm at 916.35 per dollar, with an interest rate decision expected on Friday. MSCI's index for Latin American currencies was slightly higher, while the stocks gauge gained 1%, trading at its highest since early November. HeavyweightBrazil added 0.8%, while Mexican stocks were up 0.5%.Argentina's Merval jumped 3.7%, as the country's IMF deal faced a key vote in the localCongress . Elsewhere,Ukraine's international bonds and the Russian rouble fell after Russian PresidentVladimir Putin agreed on Tuesday to stop attacking Ukrainian energy facilities temporarily but declined to endorse a full 30-day ceasefire. U.S. President Donald Trump and Ukrainian PresidentVolodymyr Zelenskiy agreed to work together to endRussia's war withUkraine , in what theWhite House described as a "fantastic" one-hour phone call. Highlights: **Argentina's 2024 economy shrinks 1.7% despite late-year rebound **Panama's economic growth slows to 2.9% in 2024 after key mine closure Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies around1950 GMT : MSCI Emerging Markets 1143.29 -0.16 MSCI LatAm 2151.82 0.95 Brazil Bovespa 132494.78 0.78 Mexico IPC 53027.83 0.48 Chile IPSA 7594.95 0.12 Argentina Merval 2372939.9 3.69 7 Colombia COLCAP 1623.55 0.01 Brazil real 5.6461 0.43 Mexico peso 20.0516 -0.75 Chile peso 916.35 0.04 Colombia peso 4148.5 -0.77 Peru sol 3.619 0.14 Argentina peso (interbank) 1068.75 -0.02 Argentina peso (parallel) 1260 1.98 (Reporting byShashwat Chauhan ,Purvi Agarwal andLibby George ; Editing byAlexandra Hudson andFranklin Paul )
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