Wobbly US stocks face test with tariffs, jobs data

The S&P 500 posted a weekly loss, selling off on Friday after data pointed to underlying price pressures. Earlier this month, the benchmark index marked a correction, dropping more than 10% from its record high.
The index is down 9.17% from its
Investors remain worried about signs that Trump's trade war could reignite inflation.
"April is going to have a lot of moving parts and probably a lot of volatility following a really difficult March," said
Investors have been hoping the coming days will clarify the tariff landscape. Trump has pointed to
The tariff situation has led
A survey this week showed U.S. consumer confidence plunged in March to its lowest in more than four years, with households fearing a recession and higher inflation because of tariffs.
"Everybody wants clarity because however it plays out, it gives the roadmap and we're going to adapt, adjust," said
On Wednesday, Trump announced a 25% tariff on auto imports, a measure that could add thousands of dollars to the average cost of a vehicle in the U.S. Shares in carmakers such as
Data from options analytics service ORATS show the equity options market pricing higher volatility for near-term S&P 500 option expirations, including contracts expiring on
"Traders are paying a premium for near-term protection,"
After annual gains of over 20% for years, the S&P 500 is logging a 5.12% decline so far in 2025 as the end of the first quarter nears. The index has lost its gains since Trump's November election, which had stoked excitement on
The forward price-to-earnings ratio on the S&P 500 has moderated to less than 21 times as of Wednesday, compared to about 22 to start the year, but remains well above its long-term average of 15.8, according to LSEG Datastream.
"We came into the year with an expensive market coupled with high expectations. And now we're getting uncertainty," said
Tariff worries have compounded concerns about the U.S. economic outlook. Investors will focus on the monthly U.S. jobs report due on
Employment growth is expected to have slowed in March to 128,000 from 151,000 in February, according to a Reuters poll.
One focus on
The end of the first quarter on Monday could bring asset price fluctuations, as portfolio managers make last-minute adjustments. Investors also will begin eyeing the start of first-quarter earnings season, with reports arriving in earnest later in the month.
"We're generally in a risk off environment. That's been the tone since we've entered this correction phase," said
(Reporting by
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