Front-loading ahead of tariffs boosts US durable goods orders

But the report from the
President
"There is tremendous uncertainty coming from
Orders for durable goods, items ranging from toasters to aircraft meant to last three years or more, increased 0.9% after advancing by an upwardly revised 3.3% in January, the
Primary metals orders rose 1.2%, while those for fabricated metal products rebounded 0.9%. Electrical equipment, appliances and components orders jumped 2.0%.
Economists attributed the rise in orders for these goods to front-loading ahead of tariffs, adding that trade policy uncertainty and higher borrowing costs remained constraints for manufacturing, which accounts for 10.3% of the economy.
Trump has imposed a new 20% duty on all imports from
The U.S. president has fully restored 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum from
"The demand data show conditions are not fueling a broad and sustained recovery in capex spending," said
BUSINESS SENTIMENT DETERIORATING
The Federal Reserve last week left interest rates unchanged, an acknowledgement of the uncertainty swirling around the economy. Optimism among company chief financial officers dropped in the first quarter of 2025, a survey from two regional Fed banks and
Stocks on
Orders for machinery climbed 0.2% last month while those for transportation equipment increased 1.5%. They were lifted by a 4.0% rebound in demand for motor vehicles and parts and a 9.3% rise in defense aircraft and parts orders, more than offsetting a 5.0% decline in commercial aircraft orders.
Boeing reported on its website that it had received only 13 aircraft orders in February compared to 36 in January.
Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, a closely watched proxy for business spending plans, dropped 0.3% after an upwardly revised 0.9% surge in January. Economists had forecast these so-called core capital goods orders would gain 0.2% after a previously reported 0.8% jump in January.
Shipments of core capital goods rebounded 0.9%, the most in a year, after falling 0.2% in January.
Non-defense capital goods orders declined 1.5% after accelerating 12.8% in January. Shipments of these goods rose 0.5% after vaulting 3.2% in the prior month.
Core and non-defense capital goods shipments go into the calculation of the business spending on equipment component in the gross domestic product report. The rise in shipments suggested a rebound in business spending on equipment this quarter after a contraction in the fourth quarter.
But the decline in orders pointed to weakness in equipment investment beyond the first quarter. Economists at Goldman Sachs left their GDP growth estimate for the first quarter unchanged at a 1.3% annualized rate.
The Atlanta Fed is expecting GDP to contract in the January-March period. The economy grew at a 2.3% pace in the fourth quarter.
"Business sentiment is down and still falling, suggesting less capital spending lies ahead," said
(Reporting by Lucia Mutikani; additional reporting by
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