Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Buy Opinion On Shares Of Commercial Metals Company

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10:10 AM EDT, 03/31/2025 (MT Newswires) -- CFRA, an independent research provider, has provided MT Newswires with the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:

We decrease our 12-month target price by $6 to $56, which values CMC at an EV/EBITDA of 6.5x our FY26 (Aug.) EBITDA estimate, above CMC's three-year avg. forward EV/EBITDA of 5.7x but below peers' avg. forward EV/EBITDA of 8.8x. We lower our FY25 EPS estimate by $0.28 to $3.02 and our FY26 EPS estimate by $0.26 to $4.42. Our three-stage DCF model supports our buy opinion, with a computed intrinsic value also of $56, which assumes a WACC of 8.3% and a stage-two free cash flow growth rate of 3.0%. Our DCF model indicates that CMC is currently trading at a valuaion that implies a 10-year CAGR in free cash flow of negative 2.5%, which is far too pessimistic, in our view. We think the pricing environment improved modestly during FQ2 and we are expecting the construction pipeline to remain robust (amid strong pent-up demand), which should result in a positive inflection point in metal margins during FQ3 in North America. We also anticipate continued improvements in Europe, which achieved EBITDA breakeven during FQ2.

MT Newswires does not provide investment advice. Unauthorized reproduction is strictly prohibited.

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