MORNING BID EUROPE-A deep breath before 'Liberation Day'

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
The deep breath that global markets are taking in the
countdown to
Nerves are definitely still a bit frayed though, with supreme safe haven gold marking an all-time peak for a fourth straight session.
To be clear, nothing has really changed: We still are no wiser as to what Trump is set to announce on Wednesday. Any expectations that there might be room for trade partners to negotiate apparently came undone with the U.S. president's statement late on Sunday that essentially every country will be slapped with reciprocal levies.
Late on Monday, the
Trump says he's willing to accept higher consumer prices at home to reset the playing field for global trade, even with a recent hot CPI reading stoking market fears of stagflation.
Upping the ante on a potential tariff-triggered slowdown, Goldman raised its estimate on the odds of a recession to 35%, and predicted three Fed rate cuts this year.
There's a lot of information about the state of the U.S.
economy this week, particularly the job market, with the JOLTS
report later today, the ADP report a day later, and monthly
payrolls figures on Friday, when Fed Chair
In
Meanwhile, French far-right politician
A front-runner to take over from President
Key developments that could influence markets on Tuesday:
-Euro-area manufacturing PMI, CPI, unemployment rate
-ECB's Lagarde, Lane speak
-UK manufacturing PMI
-BoE's Greene speaks
-US JOLTS report
(By
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