GRAPHIC-Take Five: T is for tariffs
Here's your one-stop shop for the week ahead in world
markets from
1/ TARIFFS FOR ALL
Trump has said
His sneak-peak of what to expect in the form of a 25% duty
on imported vehicles to
That's made for a turbulent trading environment, in which planning for anything from a new factory, to a holiday to managing an investment portfolio has become more complex.
The fear of an across-the-board approach to duties had been
mitigated somewhat in recent days by hints from the
But the reality is investors are still very much in the dark.
2/ JOBS TEST
Concerns about the health of the U.S. economy will be tested by the latest monthly jobs data.
The
But such growth may still reassure investors that the economy is not sliding toward a recession. As it stands, Fed funds futures suggest traders bake in at least two interest rate cuts by year-end to shore up the economy.
Investors are also watching to see the extent to which the
effort led by Trump ally
Under Musk's government efficiency drive, tens of thousands of workers from the 2.3-million strong federal workforce have been fired or agreed to take a buyout.
3/ AS YOU WERE
The first quarter wraps up on Monday and it hasn't been dull, or gone the way that even the most experienced investors had anticipated.
To put it bluntly, everything has been Trumped. Trillions have been wiped off the super-sized tech firms that have dominated world markets for years.
Gold has soared to a record high and the dollar is set for a
quarterly fall of almost 4%. European defence stocks have surged
as the U.S. has signalled its military support is no longer
guaranteed and even
Q2 doesn't look like it is going to get any easier either. Just a couple of days in and Trump will be detailing his grand global tariff plan. For investors, the big question is whether it will end up triggering recession.
4/ ECB'S DILEMMA
Euro zone inflation data on Tuesday is the next hurdle for
traders trying to gauge whether the
Markets have grown more confident in recent days, now
pricing in a roughly 80% chance of another cut on
But further rate cuts this year seem more a matter of timing
and further risks to the bloc's growth loom with all eyes on
The bigger debate is what happens further out.
Markets are already thinking about what
BNP Paribas, for example, already expects the ECB to hike rates next year.
5/ CUT, BUT NOT YET
Even so, traders and analysts expect the RBA will forgo any April Fools surprises when it wraps up a meeting on Tuesday and keep interest rates on hold.
After all, the central bank just cut at its last meeting in February, and struck a markedly hawkish tone, warning markets away from assuming more was to come.
The official, quarterly consumer price numbers could still
prove crucial on
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