National Bank on Tariffs Impact on Canadian Banks
According to National Bank analyst
"With the macro backdrop dominated by uncertainty and volatility, we are cutting our forecasts (i.e., 2026 down by 7%) to reflect weaker credit performance, loan growth, and Wealth management results."
While the current market context isn't positive, Dechaine believes it is important to assess buying opportunities. From a valuation standpoint (e.g., forward P/E, dividend yield vs. bond yield spread) it is hard to argue that stocks are "unusually" attractive. Moreover, if the current situation mirrors historical precedents (e.g., early 90s recession, COVID), then we are still in the "early innings".
Bottom line -- Consensus forecasts need to be cut by at least 10% before we can argue that expectations have become sufficiently conservative.
Price: 125.53, Change: -1.51, Percent Change: -1.19
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